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President Trump plans to announce huge tariffs on April 2.
This plan aims to generate over $600 billion in government revenue.
Trump is still working with his team to determine a new framework for global trade.
This could include one of two options…
Plan #1: Reciprocal Tariffs
A reciprocal tariff is when one country matches the import taxes that another country puts on its goods.
For example, the European Union charges a 10% tariff on imported vehicles. Whereas the U.S. tariff rate is just 2.5%.
Reciprocal tariffs would result in the U.S. increasing its tariff on European vehicles to 10% – matching the tariff charged by Europe.
Plan #2: Global Tariffs
Trump is also considering a simple 20% global tariff.
This would be a tax on every import into the United States – regardless of the policy of other countries. This is designed to level the playing field – since the U.S. operates with large trade deficits.
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Trump Says April 2nd is Liberation Day
The President plans to announce his plan on April 2nd. And he’s calling it Liberation Day.
Last week Trump rolled out a 25% tariff on the importation of autos and auto parts.
The auto industry is expected to take a big hit. Auto prices are expected to increase 11% – 12% – adding ~$4,700 to the cost of the average new car.
Trump believes that tariffs will encourage consumers to buy American products.
Many Americans are concerned that tariffs will spark an increase in inflation. The U.S. economy has already been feeling the pain of inflation and high prices ever since the pandemic.
Economists are generally pessimistic about Trump’s tariff plans. Yet the average American is more optimistic.
3 in 5 voters agree that the U.S. needs to reset its trade policies according to a March Harvard Harris poll.
Trump is planning major tax reform that would eliminate federal taxes for families earning less than $150,000. The tax cut would help offset the higher prices for some goods due to tariffs.
The stock market initially rallied after Trump’s election.
However, by mid-February the stock market started falling. The primary reason is because Trump’s aggressive tariff policies create uncertainty for businesses and consumers.
There’s a growing concern that the combination of government spending cuts and tariffs would create a recession later this year.
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