Earnings Expectations Low Enough for Most Firms to Beat Them

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Stocks rallied out of the hole yesterday. And the financial media, which started the day reporting that pessimism about the economic recovery was driving stocks lower, finished by saying… Read more

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Oil: The Economy’s Leading Indicator

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Thursday’s nasty sell off appears to be bleeding into today. Of course, TradeMaster technical analyst Jason Cimpl had us prepared for more declines today with his excellent video chart… Read more

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Where the IPO Market is Hot

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And so it begins. I’m talking about earnings estimate revisions for banks. And yes, they are headed lower. First up is Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS). Credit Suisse analyst Howard… Read more

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Foreclosures Hitting Prime Mortgages and Banks

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The Third Quarter is getting off to a rousing start. Economic data for the day is generally good – manufacturing shrunk less than expected and pending home sales rose… Read more

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Case-Shiller Index Decline Seen as Improvement

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Talk about boring. On Monday, around 10:30 AM, the S&P 500 rose above 924. By 12:30 PM, it rose to 927.99. Ignore the first hour of trading (when the… Read more

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Commodities Run About to Turn?

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The positive headlines are everywhere this morning. On Bloomberg alone, we read that the worst is over for Treasury bonds, factory output improved in Japan for the second straight… Read more

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Liquidity Programs and Opportunity Costs: U.S. Loss and China’s Gain

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Yesterday, the Fed scaled back two of its liquidity-providing programs and announced it would let a third one expire on July 1, 2009.
Each program was designed to… Read more

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Fed Holds Rates, Defers on Inflation Question

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The Fed has spoken. Interest rates are not going higher anytime soon. And the Fed announced no change to its $1.75 bond purchase program. Bonds sold off, suggesting that… Read more

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The Fed, the Dollar, and Commodities Profits

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The FOMC is expected to announce no change to the overnight lending rate later today. Economists also expect the Fed to say that it will continue to purchase Treasury… Read more

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